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Report forecasts $223B decline in US property values and lost taxes as foreclosures surge
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 13 - 11 - 2007


An expected surge in home foreclosures
will cause U.S. property values to sink by $223 billion
(¤152.7 billion), with the most severe impact in minority
communities, a new report says, according to AP.
The report released Tuesday by the Center for Responsible
Lending estimates that roughly one in three households will
see their property values drop by $5,000 (¤3,423) on
average as mortgages made to borrowers with weak credit in
2005 and 2006 reset at higher interest rates, accelerating
the pace of foreclosures.
Property values and tax revenues will decline most
sharply, the center said, in neighborhoods with lots of
minority residents, who received a disproportionate share
of such mortgages. The report's authors asserted that
foreclosures have a negative effect on surrounding
properties, raising the risk of fire and vandalism.
«These foreclosures are wiping out wealth that people
often took a lifetime to build,» said Martin Eakes, the
center's chief executive. «Many families will never
achieve homeownership again»
The Durham, North Carolina-based center is pushing for
legislation up for a House vote Thursday that would ban
abusive lending practices, such as steering homeowners into
refinanced mortgages that don't provide any benefit.
Advocacy groups say poor and minority borrowers who
qualified for traditional loans were nevertheless steered
into mortgages that reset to dramatically high levels after
a short «teaser» period.
These practices «succeeded in wrecking the futures of
hundreds of thousands of homeowners and their families,»
said Shanna Smith, executive director of the National Fair
Housing Alliance.
Experts project that between 1 million and 2 million of
those loans will wind up in foreclosure.
The center's property value analysis was based on academic
research indicating that a foreclosure lowers the price of
neighboring properties by 0.9 percent on average. That
impact was higher in poor neighborhoods, where prices
dropped 1.4 percent on average.
It comes as Wall Street investors and homeowners alike try
to gauge the ultimate impact of the mortgage market's
troubles, which started early this year among borrowers
with weak, or subprime, credit and have expanded to other
loans.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told lawmakers in
Washington last week that nearly 2.3 million subprime
mortgages will reset at higher rates _ and often
dramatically higher monthly payments _ through the end of
next year.
This month, major banks including Citigroup Inc., Merrill
Lynch & Co and Morgan Stanley have revealed massive losses
on investments linked to the U.S. mortgage market.
Bad mortgage debt may cost banks as much as $400 billion
(¤273.8 billion) by the time the credit crisis has run its
course, Deutsche Bank wrote in a research report Monday,
estimating that among the $1.2 trillion (¤0.82 trillion) in
subprime mortgage loans outstanding, 30 percent to 40
percent could reach default, forcing losses of $150 billion
(¤102.7 billion) to $250 billion (¤171.1 billion).
The number of U.S. homes in foreclosure more than doubled
in the third quarter, Irvine, California based RealtyTrac
Inc. said earlier this month. A total of 446,726 homes
nationwide were affected by some sort of foreclosure
activity from July to September, nearly doubling from
223,233 properties in the year-ago period.


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