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Global IPO activity plunges
By Saudi Gazette Staff
Published in The Saudi Gazette on 11 - 12 - 2008

Global IPO activity has plummeted since 2007, with only 745 IPOs recorded worldwide in the first 11 months of 2008, raising $95.3 billion in capital as compared to 1,790 IPOs over the same period a year ago, which raised $256.9 billion in capital, the latest Ernst & Young's year-end Global IPO report said.
Full-year figures for 2008 are expected to follow this downward trend, and will compare with a record-breaking 1,979 deals and $287.1 billion in capital raised over 2007.
However, despite a slowdown in actual listings, “the pipeline of companies preparing to make the transition from private entity to public enterprise remains robust,” said Gil Forer, global director of IPO initiatives at Ernst & Young.
“Challenging market conditions have clearly impacted investor confidence and willingness to list at this present time,” he added.
He said the “strong pipeline reflects the fact that the IPO journey is widely understood as a lengthy transformational process. In fact, our research has shown that executives of outperforming companies start preparing to list a full 12 to 24 months before going public. Clearly it is difficult to predict when IPO activity will recover and capital markets need first to stabilize in order to re-build confidence. However, many companies will use current market conditions to fully prepare themselves to take advantage once the IPO window re-opens,” Forer said.
Data from Dealogic showed that 298 IPOs have been postponed or withdrawn in 2008 to date compared with 167 during the full year 2007.
IPO activity is at the lowest level recorded over the same 11-month period since 1995, which saw 374 IPOs raise $52.4 billion in capital between Jan. 1 and Nov. 30.
IPO activity has also fallen in emerging markets. BRIC markets recorded 163 deals and $28.0 billion in capital raised in the first 11 months of 2008, compared with $106.8 billion and 365 deals over the same period in 2007.
Asian IPOs have generated the most capital this year to date ($29.7 billion) with Greater China accounting for 60 percent of funds raised in this region. North America raised $27.0 billion and the Middle East & Africa $15.9 billion - primarily driven by Saudi Arabia, which accounts for 60 percent of funds raised there. By number of deals, the most active regions are Asia (337 IPOs); Europe (161) and North America (91).
The leading sectors by number of deals were materials (1) (183 IPOs); industrials (2) (105); and high technology (81). The top three sectors (out of 12) accounted for 63 percent of total capital raised: financials ($26.2 billion), energy and power ($18.3 billion), and materials ($16.0 billion).
“The US, and the New York Stock Exchange, lead the world in capital raised, due in large part to the Visa IPO,” said Jackie Kelley, Americas IPO Leader, Ernst & Young LLP. “Overall, the US claimed three of the top 20 IPOs globally.”
The top three IPOs by capital raised were Visa Inc, the largest US IPO in history, which raised $19.7 billion on the New York Stock Exchange; China Railway Construction Corp Ltd ($5.7 billion on the Shanghai and Hong Kong stock exchanges); and the Brazilian energy company OGX Petroleo e Gas Participacoes SA ($4.1billion on the Sao Paulo stock exchange). Of the top 20 IPOs, 15 are from emerging markets.
The deal threshold required to make the top 20 has fallen significantly since 2007. In 2007, the minimum deal value required to make the group (for the full year) was $1.9 billion; the group threshold for the 11 months to 30 November 2008 is $0.85 billion.
By funds raised, the top three exchanges for the year to date are the New York Stock Exchange, which accounted for 26.3 percent of capital raised ($25.1 billion) and was buoyed by the Visa Inc listing; London Stock Exchange (5.8 percent capital raised, $5.5 billion); and Hong Stock Exchange (5.0 percent, $4.8 billion). The top three exchanges by deal activity are the Australian Stock Exchange (65 IPOs); AIM London (27) and Hong Kong Stock Exchange (23). __


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