GCC regional banking sector has entered a new paradigm where we see margin compression, tightening liquidity, moderate asset and profit growth, limited capital market activity, greater focus on cost reduction and a widespread need for greater capital and funding, KPMG said in its first GCC-listed bank results report titled "GCC Listed Bank Results: A New Paradigm", analyzing the published financial statements of 56 leading listed commercial banks across Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates. However, banks have on the whole, fared well during 2015 and the outlook for the coming years remains relatively positive given the expectation of continued government support for the sector and committed infrastructure investment. Omar Mahmood, Head of Financial Services for KPMG in the Middle East & South Asia, said "the banking sector in the region has moved a long way from the days of excess capital and liquidity. Our report reveals that the sector is no longer growing at double-digit growth rates. Banks are experiencing new challenges as a result of the current economic environment, greater regulatory oversight, supervision and stiffer competition. However the sector is still growing, although at a slower pace than previous years." Despite the impact of margin compression caused by an increase in the cost of funds and greater competition for assets, both profitability and assets rose across the region (by 6.8 percent and 6.3 percent respectively on simple average). The continued rise in profitability and assets is largely due to the careful planning and the cautious approach adopted by banks. The report suggests that the coming year is likely to see further capital and fundraising activity to support growth and to manage Basel III capital and liquidity requirements, particularly given that capital adequacy and liquidity levels fell in 2015 compared with the previous year. The report also suggests that consolidation in the form of mergers and/or reorganizations could possibly take place in the near future as a result of stiff competition and increasing pressures on costs. Net impairment charges have declined year on year by an average of 9.2 percent, reflecting the more cautious approach to lending adopted by banks in previous years. This trend may not continue due to a lag from the impact of the oil price decline on the wider economy, and with the implementation of IFRS 9, the new International Financial Reporting Standard, which will prescribe a completely new way of calculating credit losses which are likely to drive up impairment charges. It is clear that the sector is looking for ways to mitigate current financial pressures as cost-to-income ratios have reduced by 7.4 percent on average since 2014. Mahmood further said "the reduction in cost-to income-ratios is backed up by an increase in banks looking to acquire consultancy services on cost-reduction, operational efficiency, digitalization and other ways to improve profitability. This early action will help to bolster bank's resilience moving forward." Increasing regulation, despite creating additional pressure on banks, is having a positive impact on the sector – a trend which is expected to continue in the long-term. Basel III regulations, which are being adopted across the GCC, will continue to improve the sector's resilience against financial and economic stress, improve risk management and governance and strengthen banks' transparency. Mahmood added that most banks are being forced to adapt to the challenging environment. "We are seeing banks compete more aggressively, focusing more on efficiencies, and seeking innovative ways to grow and deliver positive results whilst managing shareholder expectations. We firmly believe that some of the fundamental changes we are witnessing, whether it be increasing regulatory scrutiny or greater efficiency will help the financial services industry and provide for greater stability in the long-term." Adrian Quinton, Head of Financial Services at KPMG in Saudi Arabia, said "Saudi Arabia has maintained its position as the largest banking market in the GCC, and whilst it still shows growth, solid capital ratios and stable impairment, there are pressures on liquidity, margins and impairment as the market heads in 2016 in common with the region as a whole. A combination of a small number of banks, a very strong regulator and increasing senior management focus on more sophisticated underwriting, capital modeling and provisioning should help the Saudi banks navigate the current turbulent period and come out stronger. Another positive note is the approved entry of two large international banks to the market which demonstrates the global view that the Saudi market is one with excellent long term potential."
