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Iraq's transition from the American occupation to the dependence on Iran!!
Al-Riyadh Editorial
Published in Alriyadh on 05 - 05 - 2014

Since the coop of Abdul Karim Qasem on 1958, Iraq has been walking by one foot in regard to its policies. This means that it has never adopted a certain trend since then as various communist, national and baathist governments succeeded each other in ruling it and ended by a sectarian government which subordinate to the chief religious leader in Iran.
In spite of the claim of that the current elections are going to drive Iraq towards democracy; the closet supporters of Al-Maliki consider him the biggest problem due to his dictator trend that split the Iraq nations, declared a break with its neighboring countries except for Iran and led to the lack of security and infrastructure. Thus, the unemployment has affected everyone including the highly educated competent Iraqi citizens and the massive revenues of oil have been dedicated for his allies and supporters and for supporting Al-Assad's war against his people in Syria. Al-Maliki has allied with the Kurds but has denied his commitments to them later & did the same thing with his allies Al-Hakeem & Al-Sadr which led to a sharp clash with them. It may be that his unexpected visit to Iran is an attempt for practicing a pressure on the Shiite leadership in Iraq to revive their alliance with him. However, what is going on behind the scenes may be contrary to his trend.
The United States considers that his election for a new governance period is an alarm of a coming civil war. Meanwhile, the other forces such as the secular, the Sunni ones together with the other minor sectors have adopted another trend represented by abandoning Al-Maliki's regime due to its sectarian practices together with that he has erased whatever related to the national relationship that combine all the categories of Iraq.
Al-Maliki's future has become unknown, However, the hypotheses assume that he will win in the elections whether through legitimate or illicit ways which means that it is the Iranian fist which is imposing nominating and electing him. Such dependence of a regime which is ineligible of make an independent decision through a legitimate state represents governance with no identity. He who monitors the events going on shall realize that the national Shiite citizens do not want to be a shadow for a regional country which is declaring its custodianship and occupation of their country.
The latest innovations of the Iraqi opposition forces are represented by the war of blowing up the dams or opening them for drowning the cities. This image has shown clearly how the state is incapable of blocking or preventing such attacks. It is the country full of all types of violations, which is heading backwards in regard to security, politics and economy and stands on the edge due to the development and growth of conflict stages, that proved the fact of Al-Maliki's government failure and complete incapability of providing security for a neighborhood in Baghdad or Al-Basra. Meanwhile, the Kurds areas are the only safe shelter left in Iraq.
Iraq had always been a target for the strategies of the external major powers. It has been subject to the British policy earlier when it had established "Baghdad pact" that had combined some contradicting countries for blocking the communist attacks, which represented the Russians interests since the emperor's time until the Soviet time, and attempts to reach the warm waters. In this regard, the last invasion had been the American occupation which cost had been too high for the major power that has decided to abandon the futile wars in the world recently but has provided Iraq as a gift for no cost to Iran. In the present time, the growth of Islamic extremist groups in Syria close to the Iraqi borders has led the United States to feel the dilemma in which it has put itself as a new center for Al-Qaeda and its branches in the two countries, which combines volunteers from all world countries including the United States , Europe and Chechnya, may create a new problem which consequences will not be limited to operations in Arab countries only as they may target the external countries which are believed by them to be representing the enemy and the great Satan.
In a similar way to the shadow leaderships that the United States had created for supporting it in South America but had performed unsuccessful roles; it had repeated the same attempt in Laos, South Vietnam and North Vietnam & the Arab region. However, it has kept being considered the enemy by the nations in all cases and the unreliable friend by its allies. Iraq is a model for this recurrent behavior as it will never be stable and may become a burden for the region and out of it as long as Al-Maliki's leadership is existed.


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