It is not a secret or a precedence to say that it is only in Israel's interest to incite Lebanese [groups] against each other, so have they become united over their country's interest? It is also in Israel's interest to incite the Arabs and the entire world against Iran, but are their interests guaranteed with Tehran? There are many issues between Lebanon and Iran, most of which are still controversial and divisive, although most of the Lebanese do not support striking the Iranian nuclear reactors, because such a war would lead to an uncontrollable situation for them, but… Between the “nuclear” Ahmadinejad who is accused of deceiving the West and the world, and Netanyahu, the liar, who claims that he is not planning for any war (especially against the Iranian nuclear reactors), Israeli President Shemon Perez reveals an artistic talent along with his “achievements” in politics and the battles he waged. He does not understand Prime Minister Saad Hariri's concerns over the likelihoods of an Israeli military escalation in the region, but volunteers to reassure him, [saying that] “there is no conflict between Israel and Lebanon,” as though the Shebaa Farms and the Kfar Shouba Hills are on another planet. Perez does not hide his “concern” about the interest of this small country, attributing the single concern to the “presence of two armies and two policies” in Lebanon. The head of the political and security team in the Israeli Defense Ministry, Amos Gilad, is continuing Perez's attempt to foment new divisions between a large group of the Lebanese and Hezbollah that is viewed as a government by Netanyahu, which makes it deserve warnings and punishment through destroying the whole country, in case it takes any step against Israel. Once again, we cannot but say that targeting the “weakest” side could obviate the need to strike the Gulf region, which requires international legitimacy, because the oil supplies will be targeted, in particular, by the volcano. In fact, no Lebanese citizen would like Gilad's talk about a “paper-made state” whose southern part was sold out to Hezbollah, regardless of the differences that exist over the role of Hezbollah and the arms of the resistance. Beyond no doubt, the barbaric war in July targeted all the Lebanese, before Washington continued its verbal defense of Lebanon, its sovereignty and the government of Prime Minister Fouad Siniora. So, even under the administration of President Barack Obama, we cannot wager on the fact that the American “concern” about the country will change, if Ahmadinejad's expectations of a war in the spring or summer come true. This leads to speculations that Lebanon will once again serve as an arena for this “round”, that Iran realizes what it means to move the battle to the Gulf and that all the western forces and Russia will be united and form an international coalition to besiege the “insurgent”, even if by the use of power. The energy's security and oil supplies are still an international priority. From here, we can understand the concern of Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal when he stresses that the mere “threat” to control the Strait of Hormuz is regarded as a military act. The timing of the Israeli war, which Ahmadinejad said will be in the spring, without expecting the first war arena, perhaps provokes more concern over Lebanon, as it points out that Tehran will not even remain silent on the possible international decision to increase the sanctions on it. Most probably, imagining that the first flame will be ignited from Lebanon – in an Iranian attempt to force the superpowers to regret, which complies with Ahmadinejad's desires – coincides with many Israeli and American signs that were repeated over the past few months, under one title, which is to return Resolution 1701 to the Intensive Care Unit and thus use it as a weapon to entice Lebanon and drag Hezbollah [into a confrontation]. This dragging is attainable, at least at the media and international level, seeing all the Israeli [espionage] networks that were revealed. Therefore, it is enough to fire a few missiles under vague circumstances and hold the party responsible for that. 2010 is still “the testing year” for Israel. It is certain until today that Hezbollah does not seek a war, as its Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said. Most probably, the party will not give Netanyahu's government a pretext to launch a war, though it is able to fabricate it…even though afar from Lebanon. For all these reasons, the Lebanese might be divided over their reading of Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's address on the anniversary of the martyred leaders of the resistance, although they are convinced about the Israeli role in fabricating a pretext. While it is very important for Hezbollah not to seek a war, we should remain alert to the Hebrew State's attempt to exaggerate the Iranian role, such as speaking about its attempt to “divide Lebanon.” In this sense, Netanyahu's government and Perez want to undermine the calm in this country, in order to make the [Lebanese] arena lose its unity before a confrontation. Unity, just as before July 2006, will remain the most powerful weapon to defend Lebanon.
