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Germany warns of renewed Ukraine-Russia gas conflict
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 17 - 06 - 2009


German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier on
Wednesday warned of a new flare-up in the Russian-Ukrainian gas
conflict, and possible reductions in energy supplies to Europe, according to dpa.
Berlin's top diplomat, visiting the Ukrainian capital Kiev
with Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski, called for renewed
efforts to head off an impending impasse.
Disputes between Ukraine and Russia over gas prices led
to a total cut-off of Russian gas exports to Ukraine in January.
The blockade - lasting three weeks - dramatically reduced
supplies to Europe, which receives roughly one-quarter of its natural
gas needs via Ukrainian pipelines.
"We are together here in Ukraine, in order to at least make the
attempt, to prevent another gas supply crisis. Whether that will be
successful or not, we both can't yet say," Steinmeier said to
reporters in Kiev, alongside Sikorski.
"There are pressing interests to prevent another another gas
supply conflict," Steinmeier added.
Ukraine's cash-strapped government has struggled this year to pay
for Russian gas imports on time, provoking repeated Kremlin threats
of another shut-down.
Ukraine's currently feuding political Prime Minister, Yulia
Tymoshenko and President Viktor Yushchenko, should work "at the
very least towards cooperation," in order to meet terms for further
international financial aid needed to head off another (gas)
conflict," Steinmeier said.
Germany and Poland in April began an EU programme to assist
Ukraine with its financial difficulties, to prevent a second Russian
cut-off of gas supplies to Ukraine.
Polish, German, and Ukrainian officials were discussing a possible
four billion dollar loan to Ukraine to be made available by the end
of June, officials from Tymoshenko's office said.
Ukraine could run out of money to pay for Russian gas by as early
as the beginning of July, Sehodnia newspaper reported.
A gas rate price increase for Ukrainian gas consumers, among other
reforms, are among the conditions set by international loan
organisations to Ukraine for further credit.
Steinmeier and Sidorski on Wednesday also met with Yushchenko as
well as former Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovich, the leader of
Ukraine's opposition Regions Ukraine political party.
"I am sure that Ukraine will provice Europe stable deliveries of
fuel and energy resources; the gas and oil will keep going to
Europe," Yanukovich said.
Gas reserves in Ukraine are, according to local media reports,
some 30-40 per cent full, enough to meet Ukrainian demand for 30 - 45
days.
Were Russia to cut off gas supplies to Ukraine the downstream
effect on Europe would be almost instantaneous, as Ukraine's reserves
would barely cover Ukrainian gas needs, according to industry
observers.
Steinmeier and Sidorski promised to work hard on obtaining for
Ukraine further financial assistance, but during meetings with
reporters in Kiev both said Ukraine must meet "political conditions."
Ukraine's creaky finances currently are heavily dependent on an
ongoing International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan programme worth some
16.5 billion dollars, of which two of six tranches have been paid
out.
For Ukraine to receive further tranches of the loan, the country
must use the money in sectors designated by the IMF, particularly in
paying the gas bill to Russia on time, and propping up Ukraine's
wobbly banking sector.
Ukraine's economy has suffered badly from the international
financial crisis, with overall GDP set to fall between 10 and 20
per cent during 2009.
Ukraine is set for a presidential election in early 2010, creating
a political
m~+s;!ere`|he government is unwilling to hike
state-controlled natural gas prices in the country, for fear of
angering voters.


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