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Euro slips below $1.34 in European trading
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 06 - 01 - 2009


The euro slipped to its lowest point in
three weeks on Tuesday, dragged down by mounting
speculation that the European Central Bank will continue
its rate cut campaign in the face of declining inflation
across the euro zone, AP reported.
In morning trading, the 16-nation currency dropped to a
low of $1.3397 before recovering slightly to $1.3439 in
midmorning trading compared with $1.3602 in late New York
trading on Monday. The last time the euro fell below $1.34
was Dec. 12.
The drop was the result of investor expectations that the
ECB, which meets Jan. 15, will likely continue cutting
interest rates for the euro zone from its current 2.5
percent, after Eurostat's provisional estimate of consumer
price inflation found that it fell from 2.1 percent to 1.6
percent in December.
«Falling inflation creates more scope in monetary policy
for the ECB,» said Commerzbank analyst Christoph Weil in a
statement. «We believe the ECB is likely to cut the key
rate in the next few months by a further 150 basis points
to 1 percent.»
The ECB's chief mandate is to keep inflation just below 2
percent. Inflation surged to twice that rate in mid-2008
before leveling off at the end of the year amid the
financial meltdown.
Also hurting the common currency was a further drop in the
purchasing managers' index for the euro zone services
sector to the lowest in the survey's 10-year history. The
index shows the economy is contracting and employment is on
the rise.
The British pound weakened marginally against the dollar,
buying $1.4701 compared with $1.4723 on Monday night, with
analysts expecting a rate cut by the Bank of England on
Thursday from its current 2 percent.
«Sterling is also holding up relatively well against the
greenback despite the release of some worse than expected
house price data from the Nationwide this morning,» Hughes
said.
Britain has been hurt by plunging house prices and
tightened lending between banks despite record interest
rate cuts. The Bank of England is expected to lower its own
interest rate from 2 percent on Thursday.
Cutting interest rates can undermine a currency as
investors seek higher returns elsewhere.
The interest-rate play for the pound and euro may be
diminishing in appeal as their respective central banks
appear set to chop rates closer to those in the U.S., Japan
and Switzerland _ all hovering around zero.
In other trading, the dollar rose to 93.90 yen in trading
Monday compared with 93.21 Japanese yen late Monday in New
York.


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