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German business confidence slumps, analysts forecast
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 24 - 07 - 2008


German business confidence slumped in July, a key
survey to be released Thursday is forecast to show, as a surging
euro, spiralling inflation and worries about higher interest rates
hit sentiment in Europe's biggest economy, reported the DPA.
After falling to 101.3 points in June, Germany's closely watched
Ifo business confidence index slipped to 100 this month, analysts'
predict.
Based on a survey of 7,000 German executives, the July Ifo report
could set the stage for the release this week of a batch of major
economic sentiment surveys, which are likely to point to a bleaker
outlook taking shape across Europe.
A report released Tuesday showed consumer confidence in Italy
dropping to about a 15-year low.
The Ifo's publicaton also comes as Europe's latest company
reporting season gets underway with businesses already reporting
mixed earnings results during the latest quarter.
Moreover, since the release of the last German business confidence
report, which is drawn up by Munich-based Ifo economic institute, the
euro has surged to an all-time high of 1.6038 dollars.
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has delivered its first rate
hike in more than a year, increasing borrowing costs in the 15-member
eurozone by 25 basis points to 4.25 per cent early this month to ward
off inflationary pressures.
In addition, continuing tough talk about the threat posed by
inflation from leading ECB officials has helped to fuel speculation
that the Frankfurt-based bank might deliver another rise in the cost
of money before the end of year.
Signs of a more brittle economic and business mood have already
started to emerge among German investors.
A key indicator released this month showed German investor
confidence plummeted to a record low in July.
Drawn up by the Mannheim-based Centre for European Economic
Research, the ZEW index plunged more than forecast to minus 63.9
points.


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