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Energy, precious metals and agriculture futures make gains
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 18 - 10 - 2007


Commodities rallied Thursday as investors
sought protection from the tumbling dollar, which slid to
new lows after a surge in unemployment claims raised
concerns about the health of the U.S. job market, AP reported.
Oil surged to a peak; precious metals and agriculture
futures rose, while industrial metals ended mixed.
The euro purchased a record $1.4309 on Thursday, while
other currencies also strengthened versus the greenback.
The dollar's drop came as the Labor Department reported a
sharp rise in claims for unemployment benefits last week,
unnerving investors who have seen the job market as one the
economy's stronger points and an offset to the
deteriorating housing market.
Investors often turn to commodities to hedge against a
weak dollar on the premise that raw materials such as
copper or platinum tend to hold their underlying value
relative to all currencies. Also, because commodities are
bought and sold in dollars, foreigners see U.S. prices at a
discount as their currencies gain force.
Light, sweet crude for November delivery settled at a
record $89.47, up $2.07 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Gold futures for December jumped $6.40 to settle
at $768.70 an ounce, while silver futures rose 5.3 cents to
$13.803 an ounce.
An anemic earnings report from Bank of America Corp., the
nation's second-largest bank, renewed concerns about the
credit markets and added to the pressure on the dollar. The
bank posted a 32 percent drop in third-quarter profit on
trading losses and writedowns stemming from the problems
that racked the credit and financial markets over the
summer.
«The rallying gold price is a reflection of further
erosion in dollar confidence,» said Ashraf Laidi, chief
foreign exchange analyst with CMC Markets U.S., in a
report.
Jobless claims reached 337,000 last week, up 28,000 from
the previous week, the Labor Department said. The increase
was more than four times the increase of 6,000 economists
expected. The data follows the Commerce Department's report
Wednesday showing construction of new homes plummeted to
the lowest level in 14 years in September.
Laidi cautioned that the current gold rally may be
inflated by speculative activity due to a sharp rise in the
number of long positions in the market.
Other analysts have made the same claim about energy
futures, which have seen investors' long positions swell in
recent weeks. A long position is a bet prices will climb.
Meanwhile, the dollar may have further to fall. Market
expectations have solidified for another reduction in the
Federal Reserve's benchmark federal funds rate, as worries
about a still-bottomless housing slump have mounted. Fed
fund futures point to a more than 70 percent chance of a
quarter-point rate cut when the Fed meets Oct. 30-31.
Energy prices climbed broadly, with oil leading gains in
gasoline and heating oil.
Although the Energy Information Administration reported an
unexpectedly large increase in inventories of crude and
gasoline on Wednesday, some analysts say higher prices are
supported by a longer-term decline in oil supplies
globally. In a report, Barclays Capital analyst Kevin
Norrish points to four straight quarters of global
inventory draws and the likelihood of two more quarterly
declines to come.
November gasoline rose 3.85 cents to settle at $2.1851 a
gallon, while heating oil picked up 3.04 cents to $2.3493 a
gallon on the Nymex.
Elsewhere, agriculture futures climbed on the Chicago
Board of Trade. Soybeans for November delivery jumped 17.25
cents to $9.915 a bushel, while December corn prices added
9.25 cents to $3.6725 a bushel. December wheat rose 5 cents
$8.255 a bushel.
Overseas, industrial metals finished in a range, with
nickel and lead prices rising on the London Metal Exchange.
Copper fell in London and slipped 5.45 cents to end at
$3.5415 a pound on the Nymex.


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