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Oil falls below $72 as US data fails to surprise
Published in Saudi Press Agency on 16 - 08 - 2006


Oil fell over $1 to below $72
on Wednesday as weekly figures showed U.S. crude stocks fell in
line with expectations, easing supply concerns after the
partial shutdown of the country's largest oilfield last week, Reuters reported.
U.S. light, sweet crude for September delivery settled
$1.16 lower at $71.89 a barrel, losing ground for the third
straight session and reaching the lowest level since July 20.
ICE Brent crude settled down 72 cents $73.08 a barrel.
U.S. crude supplies fell 1.6 million barrels last week, the
Energy Information Administration said, in line with analysts'
expectations.
"Some people were whispering ahead of the release of the
data that the Prudhoe Bay shutdown decision by BP might have
affected supply in a large way," said Phil Flynn, an analyst
with Alaron Trading. "Those speculators are very disappointed
right now."
Domestic gasoline stocks dropped 2.3 million barrels, while
distillate supplies rose 800,000 barrels.
Prices have slumped from above $77 a barrel a week ago
after BP said it would shut down only half of its 400,000
barrel per day Prudhoe Bay oilfield in Alaska for pipeline
repairs, and the United Nations brokered a truce to end
month-long fighting in the Middle East.
"Oil prices have come down now that the previously
supportive factors of Israel-Hizbollah and Prudhoe Bay are out
of the picture," said Naohiro Niimura, head of research and
sales at Mizuho Corporate Bank.
Israeli forces began leaving parts of south Lebanon on
Tuesday as the cease-fire held into a third day.
The United Nations hopes to start deployment of a new U.N.
force in Lebanon with some 3,500 troops within two weeks, to
monitor the fragile truce with Hizbollah guerrillas, provided
France forms the backbone for the contingent.
STILL BULLISH
Some analysts remained bullish for the oil price in the
longer term.
"The geopolitical situation compared to last year has
gotten worse not better. I don't see any quick fix for the
geopolitical situation," said Angus McPhail, analyst with
Alliance Trust. "The spectre of $80 a barrel is still very
real."
Attacks against foreign oil workers in Nigeria and Iran's
stand-off with the West over its nuclear development are also
lending support to prices, which are still up nearly 20 percent
this year, aided by healthy investor buying.
High prices pushed oil production group OPEC on Wednesday
to cut its 2006 demand forecast by 80,000 bpd to 1.3 million
bpd.


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