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Failure of the central state & considering the provinces system as an alternative
Al-Riyadh Editorial
Published in Alriyadh on 20 - 03 - 2014

Baghdad, Damascus & Beirut used to represent the triangle of crises since long decades. The strange part is that they used to be prosperous before that the military leader has become the alternative of the president and the parliament (which are) elected by public. Thus, the economy of Iraq used to be better than some European countries in regard to agriculture and commerce & the same thing applies to Syria which has been the base of Sham countries in the modern industries related to agriculture, textiles and leather goods in addition to its being the pioneer in market economy.
As for Lebanon, it used to be the center of cultural and touristic ray and the sage haven of all the people who have been expelled from their countries by their authorities due to their political or cultural attitudes. However, the sever conditions through which these countries had passed transformed them to centers for military versus civilian clashes together with the sectarian ones. These clashed led to the Lebanese Civil War which had been a meeting point for the Arab-Arab & foreign-Arab conflicts which resulted consequently to destruction of what ever built after the colonialism stage. The reason behind such end was that the leaders of Lebanon in those stages bargained on their countries through belongingness to the external forces as they believed that its containment of conspiracy circles and foreign intelligence services that planned for its being its movement center shall serve the East, the West and Lebanon itself at the same time. However, the return of such dangerous game led to the launch the civil war that Lebanon could not get rid of its traces until now.
Saddam Hussein had the mentality of the revolutionist emperor during the time in which the left wing had started to shrink through the unhappy end of the soviet union. Due to that he had been the victim of the East, at the beginning, through building the state of military competence and partisan organization which serves the authority and protects it; he managed through the iron fist policy to establish security for Iraq in spite of that it had been through bloodsheds. Thus, it had not been surprising that he had pushed Iraq towards a crazy war with Iran which cost had been close to be losing Iraq. However, the game of formulas and the fears arisen from the radical regime of Khomeini, who had started a sharp clash with the West before declaring his surrender and confessing its being defeated by the Iraqi army, saved him but the other deception that Saddam had been subject to was that he transferred the battle to Kuwait which had been the start of his end before ending the long term scenario by the United States through occupying Iraq and subjecting it to splits and semi civil wars, in addition to delivering it to Iran for creating its Shiite crescent region.
As for Syria, it is cloning the experience of Lebanon's civil war as Al-Assad's illusions of that he is going to join the split parts and make a complete Syrian state ruled and governed by him is an issue thought to be unlikely to happen by even the most optimistic people around him. This is due to that the fighting parties, whether the people who started the peaceful protests or the other new terrorist organizations born through the war, are making Syria in the line of fire that may last for long years. This situation makes the end of this war difficult for each of the authority or its opponents. In a similar way to the Lebanese case, the wars of all parties have become mixed with each other and extended towards the major powers which consider that the Syrian case is a new test for power and drainage at the same time. The worry is stretching through the three countries and tells that they are going to be unstable fields not only due to the critical and troubled geographic link but due to the sectarian wars which contradict each other and fight under the name of the legal and divine right as well.
In spite of all of its setbacks, Yemen has managed to reach a difficult solution which represents the bath way for Yemen for abandoning the Central state. In this regard, provinces system represents the solution for the tribal and sectarian complex where the regional authority plans and implements the comprehensive development through legislating laws that push these provinces towards competing each other instead of intersecting with each other. Due to that this experience is new; the return of its success on Yemen shall be important and fundamental. Accordingly; each of Syria, Lebanon & Iraq which conditions are similar to Yemen's, can plan for establishing a similar state which is central in its external policy and legislation of provinces laws while the full freedom is left for the federal system to become the alternative of the previous regimes for reaching a solution that may solve the complexes of the coming splits.


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