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Uprisings and the surrounding area .. Who is affected
Published in Alriyadh on 27 - 04 - 2011

The strong turmoil in Syria observed and interpreted by many as organically linked to and influence many Arab and regional countries. Iran is watching, but is afraid to lose the most important supporting ally who is funding and constantly supporting Hezbollah. It also believes that the two are in the line of confrontation with Israel, and are stopping the expansion the U.S, while adjacent in Iraq by the army of the great state who handed over the prize of snatching Iraq from the Arab world.
Turkey on the other hand is summing up the situation. They are supporting the uprising, against the overthrow of the regime and cannot accept that there is no open dialogue between people and regime and a process to save the regime. It considers Syria as the gateway to the Arabs and influence them. In the Arab region, Lebanon is divided between the refusal, and support. The 14 March Sunni and Christian groups want to change the structure of the Syrian regime for several considerations. Some of these considerations are related to avenge certain dates and others due to planting and strengthening of Hezbollah to be judge and jury in the Lebanese track. In addition, the latter is thinking, talking and watching every movement in Syria, echoing Iran voice due to the matching interests and ideology, because losing Syria means losing the moral, financial and military support from Iran.
It has been welcomed by Iraq's Sunnis to ease the pressure from their government and the Shiite religious parties, this will enhance their future in the event of a radical change which eliminates the links to Iran and its supporters in Iraq. Iraqi Shiite officials believe that any change means loss. These chances are based on the logic of sectarian rather than neighborhood relationship and integration and without regard to the outcome of events.
Jordan conveys the facts of the domestic Syrian events and make quite comments fearing that the eruption of the situation may result in exodus of many Syrian fleeing through the border, which is a burden Jordan could not carry.
Arab countries invaded by uprisings or still facing it such as Yemen and Libya, support the revolutionary expansion as the only way for salvation from oppression and deadlock in the sense that governments were surrounded by mental walls in front of the public who has submitted for many years only to exploded without warnings.
The Syrian influence on the surrounding region is huge. Unlike Libya, however events exploded, will not reflect negatively on Egypt and Tunisia. If power is exchanged peacefully in Yemen, the Gulf States, which have fears over its safety resulting from permanent chaos, this will element fears over tribal, sectarian and the emergence of al-Qaeda allied with the Shiites.
Yemen, compared to the violence taking place in Syria and Libya, and despite sharp differences in society, considered with the least human casualties and this is an indication that the national unity is leading to solidarity, and that eliminates any concerns on events taking place now.


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