Mexico elects Claudia Sheinbaum as first woman president    South Africa president faces up to poor poll result    Donald Trump says hush-money trial 'very hard' on wife Melania    King Salman issues directive to name Riyadh road after Prince Badr bin Abdulmohsen    Riyadh conference enhances role of education and innovation in developing museums    Saudi energy minister: It is better for OPEC+ to remain cautious    King Salman and Crown Prince congratulate new Kuwait Crown Prince Sheikh Sabah    Saudi Foreign Vice Minister attends inauguration of El Salvador President    Ministry of Interior starts imposing penalties on Hajj rules violators Security officials arrest over 20,000 erring visit visa holders    Saudi Aramco's $12 billion share sale sells out in hours: Bloomberg    Unleashing the Full Potential of Fintech: Challenges, Opportunities, and a Way Forward    Cristiano Ronaldo vows Al Nassr will come back stronger after King's Cup heartbreak    Makkah Police arrest two for promoting fraudulent Hajj campaign on social media    Al Hilal clinches King Cup in intense penalty shootout and dramatic final    Crown Prince awards King's Cup to Al Hilal    Yassine Bounou named Man of the Match after leading Al Hilal to King's Cup victory    Diriyah Contemporary Art Biennale concludes with massive attendance    Man opens ice cream shop in seaside telephone box    Nepali climber sets record for fastest ascent of Mount Everest by a woman    World's rarest album to go on display in Australia    JK Rowling in 'arrest me' challenge over hate crime law    Trump's Bible endorsement raises concern in Christian religious circles    Hollywood icon Will Smith shares his profound admiration for Holy Qur'an    We have celebrated Founding Day for three years - but it has been with us for 300    Exotic Taif Roses Simulation Performed at Taif Rose Festival    Asian shares mixed Tuesday    Weather Forecast for Tuesday    Saudi Tourism Authority Participates in Arabian Travel Market Exhibition in Dubai    Minister of Industry Announces 50 Investment Opportunities Worth over SAR 96 Billion in Machinery, Equipment Sector    HRH Crown Prince Offers Condolences to Crown Prince of Kuwait on Death of Sheikh Fawaz Salman Abdullah Al-Ali Al-Malek Al-Sabah    HRH Crown Prince Congratulates Santiago Peña on Winning Presidential Election in Paraguay    SDAIA Launches 1st Phase of 'Elevate Program' to Train 1,000 Women on Data, AI    41 Saudi Citizens and 171 Others from Brotherly and Friendly Countries Arrive in Saudi Arabia from Sudan    Saudi Arabia Hosts 1st Meeting of Arab Authorities Controlling Medicines    General Directorate of Narcotics Control Foils Attempt to Smuggle over 5 Million Amphetamine Pills    NAVI Javelins Crowned as Champions of Women's Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO) Competitions    Saudi Karate Team Wins Four Medals in World Youth League Championship    Third Edition of FIFA Forward Program Kicks off in Riyadh    Evacuated from Sudan, 187 Nationals from Several Countries Arrive in Jeddah    SPA Documents Thajjud Prayer at Prophet's Mosque in Madinah    SFDA Recommends to Test Blood Sugar at Home Two or Three Hours after Meals    SFDA Offers Various Recommendations for Safe Food Frying    SFDA Provides Five Tips for Using Home Blood Pressure Monitor    SFDA: Instant Soup Contains Large Amounts of Salt    Mawani: New shipping service to connect Jubail Commercial Port to 11 global ports    Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Delivers Speech to Pilgrims, Citizens, Residents and Muslims around the World    Sheikh Al-Issa in Arafah's Sermon: Allaah Blessed You by Making It Easy for You to Carry out This Obligation. Thus, Ensure Following the Guidance of Your Prophet    Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques addresses citizens and all Muslims on the occasion of the Holy month of Ramadan    







Thank you for reporting!
This image will be automatically disabled when it gets reported by several people.



Economic analysis - Spain: The Fast Growth and the Faster Collapse
Published in AL HAYAT on 17 - 05 - 2010

Before the new British government could assume power in the United Kingdom and inherit the burdens of the global economic crisis, the implications of the European bailout package, deemed the euro crisis shield, were engulfing the euro zone member states. These states have been weakened by economic recession, while their growth has been hampered by the contraction of the real estate sector, which saw its boom as well as its collapse in tandem with that of the real estate sector in the United States.
In truth, the destabilization of the foundations of growth in Europe is shaking up governments there: over a full decade, the latter achieved comfortable growth rates overall, such as in the case of the Labour government in Britain, the Socialist government in Spain and then in Portugal, and the right-leaning government in Greece, in addition to the major economies in the European Union and the euro zone, i.e. Germany and France. However, the fact that the economy relied on one particular sector, or depended on analogous sectors, created a ‘fissure' in the economy as a whole. Thus, economies, which rely on a single economic sector for growth, now fear the repercussions of the euro zone crisis, as is the case with [the effects of] oil prices.
The European rescue package pushed Spain and Portugal to adopt austerity measures, before their economic conditions deteriorate and become similar to those in Greece.
Spain was thus the first to draft an austerity plan, which was subsequently announced by its government. But the fact of the matter is that the crisis, which has proven to be endemic to all member states of the euro zone, or to any bloc of developed economies, would not have been so severe had it not been for the fact that these countries adopted economic policies that are similar to those followed by the reckless economies of the United States, Britain and other countries.
The Spanish economy had been able to maintain its positive rating despite its deterioration and the declining rates of growth it is witnessing. For instance, during the first quarter of this year, Spain issued treasury bonds without difficulty, with an interest rate of four percent over ten years in late March and in early April. Unlike Portugal, the rating of whom was lowered by the Fitch Ratings Agency, the rating agencies did not change Spain's rating, which remained positive according to Standard & Poor's.
Nevertheless, Spain, which saw a prosperity that was distinct from the rest of the euro zone, could not benefit from this reality, except in terms of preserving a positive, albeit lower, rating, which would help Spain borrow to pay its debts.
Spain faced the global crisis with great potential: its general budget achieved a fiscal surplus equivalent to 2.2 percent of the standing GDP in 2007, while its banking system overcame the crisis without being affected by the menacing subprime mortgage crisis, owing to the strength of its institutions and the rigorous regulation in force.
The Spanish economy grew at a strong pace between 1999 and 2007, with an average annual growth rate of 3.7 percent, compared to 1.8 percent across the rest of the euro zone. This was driven by Spain's adoption of the unified European currency, and a lower interest provided to both institutions and families, but which drove the debts of the latter to exceed 147 percent of its income after the crisis. Meanwhile, the sudden boom in the construction sector could explain the difference between the growth rate in Spain and that in the rest of the euro zone, and which helped lower unemployment from 15 percent to 8.3 percent shortly before the crisis. The latter then raised unemployment back to twenty percent at the end of last March.
In view of revenues from the large tax basket ensuing from rapid growth, the Spanish public debt stood at only 42 percent of the GDP in 2007, compared with 76 percent in the rest of the euro zone and 104 percent in Greece. However, this debt rose last year to 53 percent of the GDP, which is estimated at 1436 billion Euros.
Spain was then hit, in parallel with Anglo-Saxon countries, by the collapse of the real estate market. Apartments were selling at several times their actual values, and continued to be 50 percent higher in 2009. However, the decline in construction projects helped raise unemployment to 20 percent, while tax revenues collapsed. The immediate contraction in the numbers of the employed workforce can be explained by the fact that thirty percent of those who are of working age were contracted on a fixed term basis on the eve of the crisis.
Like Britain, Ireland and the United States, Spain was trapped in the strenuous net of household debt, which approached 90 percent of the GDP on the eve of the crisis's outbreak, exceeding the level of household income. This in turn hampered the growth of consumption, with the ensuing reduction in both production and employment.
While banks were not involved in the management of the crisis, they closely followed the decline in real estate prices, the growing household financial difficulties, and the increasing bankruptcies filed by institutions. This prompted these banks to strengthen their reserves, in order to cope with bad debts, thereby reducing their ability to lend any further. As for the savings funds, which invested in the real estate sector that subsequently deteriorated in value, they soon found themselves in a difficult position.
The more mortgaged properties were put for sale, the more prices continued to fall, while financial institutions increased their reserves and production institutions suffered from a sharp lack of competitiveness. The public debt thus increased by 89 percentage points between 2007 and 2010.
Without growth, all attempts to curb the crisis will be ineffective. Moreover, the primary factor in reviving the economy is diversification, boosting production and subsequently, consumption. In the meantime, 4.6 million unemployed individuals are still waiting for relief in Spain.


Clic here to read the story from its source.